Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1153.374796 1315.352016 1497.765037 1719.552130 1983.451441 2289.309353 2673.376596
2025-06-01 912.937438 1123.976197 1385.743905 1739.072794 2210.955986 2830.321579 3723.348203
2025-06-08 778.729951 1006.017216 1305.893498 1739.595644 2366.457608 3265.387820 4702.034806
2025-06-15 698.611401 938.096712 1270.332924 1779.276216 2566.316312 3786.479899 5928.917980
2025-06-22 610.721627 844.120401 1180.411209 1718.858631 2596.933132 4046.518822 6799.076528
2025-06-29 542.983795 769.097554 1105.601125 1665.455146 2622.254583 4293.900361 7707.125057
2025-07-06 485.534752 702.106889 1033.404617 1603.133968 2617.622452 4482.034542 8550.563557
2025-07-13 463.415447 686.127535 1037.756297 1666.175634 2840.825725 5135.355530 10572.399275
2025-07-20 436.316527 659.048574 1020.312398 1687.781432 2989.743113 5675.831112 12543.077381
2025-07-27 412.564421 634.769322 1004.303558 1708.712108 3139.682478 6252.885205 14839.270617
2025-08-03 390.333104 610.739755 985.777994 1721.665843 3274.723068 6829.561874 17393.014172
2025-08-10 377.160723 600.706193 990.464764 1779.399394 3515.125279 7718.656738 21321.376512
2025-08-17 362.142813 586.735995 987.666588 1824.315903 3742.683581 8661.910837 26065.200152
2025-08-24 344.699335 567.027055 972.365537 1841.802394 3912.230645 9512.451813 31101.883744
2025-08-31 327.013542 545.280328 950.806600 1842.582341 4041.189714 10291.985077 36465.785378
2025-09-07 315.615427 534.097961 948.497955 1885.184600 4285.861257 11509.738442 44846.131731
2025-09-14 293.978579 501.995523 901.584962 1820.305162 4232.841957 11759.465555 48776.615207
2025-09-21 275.054454 473.742765 860.074633 1762.989196 4190.591185 12037.917412 53183.644330
2025-09-28 256.820919 445.632100 816.630279 1696.141466 4110.146927 12162.825998 56904.210176
2025-10-05 252.398215 444.082075 828.221392 1763.762266 4434.984141 13907.403588 73019.755487
2025-10-12 244.295139 434.637747 822.192040 1786.947422 4632.563252 15254.505260 88606.106187
2025-10-19 236.661785 425.583720 816.177487 1809.412890 4834.094623 16718.944615 107885.118922
2025-10-26 228.852612 415.628974 807.309061 1823.318829 5012.142143 18175.771963 130311.288269